IEEE PVSC 49
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SPLTRAK Abstract Submission
Effects of Satellite Sampling on Subhourly Modeling Errors
Mark A. Mikofski, William F. Holmgren, Jeff Newmiller, Rounak Kharait
DNV, Oakland, CA, United States

Modeling errors due to hourly inputs averaged from high frequency measurements can be significant where solar resource variability and inverter loading ratios are both high. However, satellite data sources average low frequency measurements. This paper studies the effects of satellite sampling frequency on subhourly modeling errors. We simulate satellite data from high frequency measurements by selecting instantaneous measurements at a lower sampling rate then averaging selected instantaneous measurements for the hour. With simulated satellite data sampled every 30-minutes or shorter we observe modeling errors, but for sampling rates longer than 30-minutes, modeling errors appear to cancel out annually possibly due to random errors in the sampled data. Similar effects have been observed by other researchers, and the results of this study seem to confirm their findings. However, the modeling error is not completely canceled out. Even with input sampled every 30-minutes, we still see some modeling error, and the modeling error increases as sampling rates get shorter. Based on our observations, we recommend that a modeling error correction be applied whenever hourly inputs are used, especially at sites with high solar variability and DC/AC ratios greater than one.